December 7, 2019
By StatementGames Team
Kansas City Chiefs Vs New England Patriots – Odds & Trends
When: 4:25 PM ET, Sunday, December 8, 2019
Where: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
Point Spread: New England Patriots -2.5
OVER / UNDER Game Total: 49.5
Kansas City Chiefs
Road Record: 4-1
New England Patriots
Home Record: 5-0
Kansas City Chiefs Vs New England Patriots Game Day Preview
All season, fans have said New England beat up on bad teams and shrank against quality competition. We’ll know more after the Pats play a home game against a quality opponent in the Kansas City Chiefs. As you read below – consider creating a FREE account on www.statementgames.com.
Kansas City started the season where they left off last year but hit a speed bump of late. The Chiefs opened the season with four straight victories, rolling over the Jaguars (40-26) and Raiders (28-10) before winning a pair of close games over Baltimore (33-28) at home and Detroit (34-30) on the road. Kansas City has battled through injuries to skill position players but they’ve been held in check for long stretches in the last couple of games. The Chiefs were neutralized by the Colts in a 19-13 home loss in week five before falling to Houston at home in week six. That set the stage for an AFC West tilt with the Broncos in week seven, where the Chiefs prevailed 30-6 despite losing Patrick Mahomes to a dislocated knee. With Matt Moore under center in week eight, Kansas City fell 31-24 at home to Green Bay before edging the Vikings 26-23 at home. The Chiefs were beaten on the road by the Titans (35-32) before knocking off the Chargers (24-17) heading into their bye.
Coming out of the bye, Kansas City faced an Oakland team intent on bumping them from the AFC West penthouse. Instead, the Chiefs delivered a blow that put them in the driver’s seat for the division crown. Kansas City led 7-0 after the opening quarter, 21-0 at the half and 31-0 after three quarters. The Chiefs kept the Raiders off the scoreboard until the first play of the fourth quarter and out of the end zone until only 39 seconds remained in the contest. Kansas City was outgained 332-259 and lost the time of possession 31:41 to 28:19 in the contest. The Chiefs held a 22-19 edge in first downs and forced three turnovers while not committing one in the game. Kansas City added a defensive two-point conversion on a blocked extra point return.
New England keeps rolling along with Tom Brady under center. The Patriots own a two-game lead in the AFC East and lead the Ravens by one game for the top seed in the AFC playoffs though Baltimore owns the tie-breaker. New England opened their season with a 33-3 home demolition of Pittsburgh and followed that up with one-sided wins over Miami (43-0) on the road and the Jets (30-14) at home. The Patriots then slugged their way to a tough win (16-10) at Buffalo before whipping Washington (33-7) on the road and the Giants (35-14) at home. New England then hammered the Jets on a Monday night (33-0) on the road and forced turnovers on three straight plays en route to a home win (27-13) over Cleveland. The Patriots suffered their first loss of the season with a road loss (37-20) to Baltimore before rebounding with a 17-10 road win over Philadelphia and a 13-9 home win over Dallas. That set the stage for their Sunday night game against the Texans.
Against Houston, New England couldn’t get their offensive attack going with any regularity when the game was hanging in the balance. The Patriots scored on their opening drive of the game to take a 3-0 lead but they struggled to do much over the first three quarters. New England was in a 21-3 hole late in the third quarter before scoring their first touchdown with 12 seconds to play in the stanza. After giving up a touchdown to trail 28-9 with under 10 minutes to play, the Patriots finally got going but it was against a soft prevent defense by the Texans. New England scored two touchdowns in the final 3:42 but ended up falling short. The Patriots rolled up a 448-276 edge in total offense, 29 first downs to Houston’s 16 and controlled the clock by a 34:35 to 25:25 margin yet none of it mattered. New England did commit the game’s lone turnover and couldn’t get things going until things were out of reach. The loss, coupled with Baltimore’s win, pushed the Patriots out of the top spot in the AFC playoff picture.
Chiefs & Patriots Sunday Facts
1. While the Patriots have forced 29 turnovers, the second-most in the league, the Chiefs have only turned the ball over 11 times all year, the fourth-fewest in the league.
2. If the Patriots win, it will be their 22nd straight at Gillette Stadium (including playoffs), which would set a new franchise record and third-longest in NFL history.
3. Starting quarterbacks under the age of 25 are 0-41 against the Patriots at Gillette Stadium since 2001 in the regular season. Mahomes is 24 years old.
Sources = Winners & Whinners
Kansas City Chiefs Vs New England Patriots Picks
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Game Pick – Kansas City Chiefs 23 New England Patriots 27
10 PT Pick = Tom Brady OVER 280.5 Yards Passing
9 PT Pick = Julian Edelman OVER 80.5 Yards Receiving
8 PT Pick = NE Tight Ends OVER 4.5 Combined Receptions