An NFL game day preview of the NFC divisional round matchup between the Seattle Seahawks and Green Bay Packers.
Seattle Seahawks vs. Green Bay Packers – Odds & Trends
When: 6:40 PM ET, Sunday, January 12, 2020
Where: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
Point Spread: Green Bay Packers -4.5
OVER / UNDER Game Total: 46.5
Road Record: 8-1
Green Bay Packers
Home Record: 7-1
Seattle Seahawks vs. Green Bay Packers Game Day Preview
The Seattle Seahawks enter this NFC Divisional Playoff game with momentum from a victory over the Philadelphia Eagles in the wild-card round as the Green Bay Packers rested on their round-one bye week. Although the Packers are favored, the Seahawks will look to take advantage of their weapon, Russell Wilson.
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The Seahawks are coming off an exciting victory overt the Philadelphia Eagles last week in their wild card matchup. Although Seattle loves to run the ball, the Seahawks handed the ball off to Travis Homer and Marshawn Lynch 17 times and only gained a total of 19 yards on the ground. Nevertheless, Russell Wilson still had an impressive game going 18-30 with 325 yards, a TD and a 108.3 rating. Running the ball against the Packers is typically a far more promising decision than it is against the Eagles however, which should open up the Seahawks preferred style of play.
Even though Wilson had his fewest rushing yards since 2016 this season, he still gained 342 yards, 3 TDs and 4.6 yards per carry. That doesn’t mean the Seahawks are limited to just running however. In the wild card game against the Eagles, WR DK Metcalf had 7 REC, 160 yards, TD and 22.9 YPC. Throughout the season he had 58 REC, 900 yards, 7 TDs. Overall, the Seahawks pass offense this season ranks 7th YPA, 7th YPC and 11th most pass plays for 20+ yards.
Where the Seahawks will surely struggle however is with the distinct disadvantage in the matchup of their offensive line against the Green Bay defensive front. While Wilson enjoys his ability to run the ball, the Packers allowed the 3rd fewest yards to QBs. This does not bode well for Seattles rush defense which ranked 22nd this season for YPG and 29th for YPC. Their pass defense however is one of the best at picking QBs off, ranking 3rd in takeaways and 5th in interceptions. This should prove to be a true test for Packers QB Aaron Rodgers who only threw 4 interceptions all year.
Coming off a week-one playoff rest, the Packers will be eager to get past this possible upset game. Although Aaron Rodgers has had somewhat of a slower season than usual, he has had 26 TDs, only 4 interceptions and a 95.4 rating. Luckily for the Packers, Rodgers performs much better at home, averaging 8 YPA, sacked half as much and had a 101.6 rating. He will surely be looking to his key WR Davante Adams, who had 83 REC, 997 yards and 5 TDs this season. Overall, Green Bay’s pass offense ranked 17th for YPG, 18th for YPC and 15th CMP%. Even though they ranked 23rd for 3rd down conversion, they are one of the best in the Red Zone, ranking 8th overall in the league this season.
Where the Packers will look to excel is being able to contain Seattle QB Russell Wilson, a difficult feat for any defense. Green Bay boasts one of the best sack duos with Za’Darius Smith and Preston Smith. Za’Darius earned 13.5 sacks this season while Preston accumulated 12. Due to their effectiveness, the Packers ranked 3rd for fewest yards allowed to QBs, a strong suit of Wilson’s. However, they will struggle against Wilson’s ability to throw long. Although their pass defense ranked 3rd in CMP% and 15th overall with 6th rating, they struggle against the long passes by ranking 21st in YPA, 27th in YPC and 21st in passes 20+ yards.
Seahawks & Packers Facts
- Seahawks rank 23rd for sacks allowed.
2. Packers rank 8th in Red Zone defense.
3. Seahawks rank 9th in Red Zone TD offense.
4. Packers are 36% on 3rd down conversion.
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Game Pick – Seattle Seahawks 24 Green Bay Packers 21
10 PT Pick = Green Bay Packers Will NOT WIN By OVER 4.5 PTS
9 PT Pick = Seattle Seahawks OVER 21.5 PTS
8 PT Pick = Total PTS UNDER 46.5